[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":441},["ShallowReactive",2],{"masthead-issue":3,"article-2026\u002F07\u002Fcrypto-day15":4,"articles-meta":342},14,{"id":5,"title":6,"body":7,"category":324,"date":325,"description":326,"draft":327,"extension":328,"image":329,"isShownInPost":327,"meta":330,"navigation":331,"path":332,"readTime":333,"seo":334,"series":335,"stem":336,"tags":337,"__hash__":341},"articles\u002Farticles\u002F2026\u002F07\u002Fcrypto-day15.md","Day 15 | 從 0 開始學習區塊鏈與交易直到我把 3000 TWD 本金輸完",{"type":8,"value":9,"toc":315},"minimark",[10,17,21,24,27,30,33,36,39,42,289,292,295,298,301,304,307,310],[11,12,13],"blockquote",{},[14,15,16],"p",{},"那天把心裡的廢話寫了一堆沒頭沒尾，內容很亂但我也不想改了(8\u002F12留)",[18,19,20],"h2",{"id":20},"總結目前帳號情況",[18,22,23],{"id":23},"前言",[14,25,26],{},"幣安廣場基本上跟 Thread, Facebook 一樣，有很多幹文，但還是有一些我覺得有學到東西的。",[18,28,29],{"id":29},"對加密貨幣市場的看法",[14,31,32],{},"我問過 AI 無數次同樣的問題：「加密貨幣為什麼有價值？」。在大學社團聽過、在書本上看過、在短影音上聽過、自己在網路也查過，但仍持續一直在問這個問題。因為答案始終違反我的直覺，也許是我固執，「因為大家有共識，所以它有價值」，這聽起來是一個很合理的答案與理由。新台幣、日圓、美元有價值，是因為國際承認它；寶可夢卡牌有價值是因為有一群人想要它；在這個社會所有東西的價值決定，都來自於一個大群體的共識，是日常在無庸置疑的道理之一。",[14,34,35],{},"我可以接受需要有貨幣存在，生活才會更方便，這也從古至今就一直都有。我無法理解的是，為什麼這東西會在我出生以後，從沒什麼價值的玩意變成市值 1.27 兆美金的貨幣系統。這些錢從哪裡來？Gemini：並不是說有一個「金庫」裡面真的裝了 1.27 兆美金。支撐這些價值的錢，來自於「市場上願意在當下用這個價格買入的人」。具體來說，這些錢來自：散戶投資人、傳統金融機構與基金、企業與公司、礦工的投入成本。",[14,37,38],{},"這不就是炒作嗎？所有東西其實都是在炒作，只是這炒得很瘋狂。",[18,40,41],{"id":41},"複利",[43,44,45,134],"table",{},[46,47,48],"thead",{},[49,50,51,102],"tr",{},[52,53,54,55,101],"th",{},"底數 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(",[56,106,108,122],{"className":107},[59],[56,109,111],{"className":110},[63],[65,112,113],{"xmlns":67},[69,114,115,120],{},[72,116,117],{},[75,118,119],{},"n",[79,121,119],{"encoding":81},[56,123,125],{"className":124,"ariaHidden":86},[85],[56,126,128,131],{"className":127},[90],[56,129],{"className":130,"style":95},[94],[56,132,119],{"className":133},[99,100],[135,136,137,149,159,169,179,189,199,209,219,229,239,249,259,269,279],"tbody",{},[49,138,139,146],{},[140,141,142],"td",{},[143,144,145],"strong",{},"1.01",[140,147,148],{},"69.66 次",[49,150,151,156],{},[140,152,153],{},[143,154,155],{},"1.02",[140,157,158],{},"35.00 次",[49,160,161,166],{},[140,162,163],{},[143,164,165],{},"1.03",[140,167,168],{},"23.45 次",[49,170,171,176],{},[140,172,173],{},[143,174,175],{},"1.04",[140,177,178],{},"17.67 次",[49,180,181,186],{},[140,182,183],{},[143,184,185],{},"1.05",[140,187,188],{},"14.21 次",[49,190,191,196],{},[140,192,193],{},[143,194,195],{},"1.06",[140,197,198],{},"11.90 次",[49,200,201,206],{},[140,202,203],{},[143,204,205],{},"1.07",[140,207,208],{},"10.24 次",[49,210,211,216],{},[140,212,213],{},[143,214,215],{},"1.08",[140,217,218],{},"9.01 次",[49,220,221,226],{},[140,222,223],{},[143,224,225],{},"1.09",[140,227,228],{},"8.04 次",[49,230,231,236],{},[140,232,233],{},[143,234,235],{},"1.10",[140,237,238],{},"7.27 次",[49,240,241,246],{},[140,242,243],{},[143,244,245],{},"1.11",[140,247,248],{},"6.64 次",[49,250,251,256],{},[140,252,253],{},[143,254,255],{},"1.12",[140,257,258],{},"6.12 次",[49,260,261,266],{},[140,262,263],{},[143,264,265],{},"1.13",[140,267,268],{},"5.67 次",[49,270,271,276],{},[140,272,273],{},[143,274,275],{},"1.14",[140,277,278],{},"5.29 次",[49,280,281,286],{},[140,282,283],{},[143,284,285],{},"1.15",[140,287,288],{},"4.96 次",[14,290,291],{},"基本上這東西在高中就學過，很多幹文也看過，但這幾天頻繁一直交易下來，親自體會到有多強大(也有多可怕)。",[14,293,294],{},"如果維持著高勝率，每單穩定賺 4~6% 之間，全部的獲利繼續滾下去了話，15次左右本金就會翻倍。基本上如果整天都在看盤了話，應該可以開 20 幾個極短線不是問題。中間扣掉少數輸掉的，應該正贏 15 次是真的有可能的。甚至如果做到平均 10 %，一天只要 8 單。",[14,296,297],{},"寫程式去跑 1.01~1.06 取 n 次亂數何時會到 2，結果平均是 20。也就是說如果照個我目前的玩法用複利去玩，大概 20 單後本金就會翻倍。",[14,299,300],{},"當然，可怕的就是中間會突然輸掉，一輸就要多打兩三單才打得回來，甚至直接 -90% 或賠光都有可能。止損很重要，但很難，基本上這幾天玩下來，我真的忍不住要止損的次數只有一次。我這期間也爆倉過幾次，只要一次之前所有就全部都是前功盡棄。",[14,302,303],{},"我自己在設止盈的時候，大概都會容許止損是兩倍，就是想賺 5% 止損會設定在 10%、甚至 20%，以大博小。我看了很多幹文，連 AI 也說通常會是反過來賺 20% 止損設定在 10%。顯得我更加無法接受賠錢賣出。我也沒有在複利，都是單利沒在滾錢，真的很不想看到虧損的單。",[14,305,306],{},"如果是在股市，會受到時間的限制，這個市場之所以更加令人驚豔的地方在於，它是以一般股市好幾倍的速度在運作的。所以有無窮的機會，加速複利的運作(或是加速虧損)。",[18,308,309],{"id":309},"這幾天做的事",[11,311,312],{},[14,313,314],{},"給我的啟示：紀律很重要，寧可每單賺少一點，不要無限想要複利，維持高勝率就好，讓自己的高勝率有辦法 Cover 突然的虧損。",{"title":316,"searchDepth":317,"depth":317,"links":318},"",2,[319,320,321,322,323],{"id":20,"depth":317,"text":20},{"id":23,"depth":317,"text":23},{"id":29,"depth":317,"text":29},{"id":41,"depth":317,"text":41},{"id":309,"depth":317,"text":309},"生活","2026-07-30","AI 摘要：8\u002F12 補留的一篇沒頭沒尾心裡話：反覆追問「加密貨幣為什麼有價值」、親身體會複利的強大與可怕，以及止盈止損設反的自我覺察——紀律比無限複利重要。",false,"md",null,{},true,"\u002Farticles\u002F2026\u002F07\u002Fcrypto-day15",4,{"title":6,"description":326},"從 0 開始學習區塊鏈與交易","articles\u002F2026\u002F07\u002Fcrypto-day15",[338,339,340],"投資","區塊鏈","加密貨幣","u4fx3sLVsaNlJrSl0HYBim3U2Vdkn7MfZKD94KSZt8w",[343,352,359,367,374,375,383,390,396,402,410,418,426,433],{"path":344,"title":345,"date":346,"description":347,"image":348,"category":324,"readTime":349,"stem":350,"series":351},"\u002Farticles\u002F2026\u002F08\u002Fcrypto-day34-35","Day 34~35 | Stage 2：邁向 12K -- 大局已定到突然覺得我又行了","2026-08-19","AI 摘要：兩天內從低谷 59.31 USDT 絕地翻身回 177.10：BANK All in 停損在最低點、SNDK 高槓桿凹單險些爆倉又轉虧為盈，最後把散落各篇的教訓整理成完整的日後交易守則。","\u002Fimages\u002Farticles\u002F2026\u002F08\u002Fcrypto-day34-35-balance-chart.jpg",5,"articles\u002F2026\u002F08\u002Fcrypto-day34-35","Stage 2：邁向 12K",{"path":353,"title":354,"date":355,"description":356,"image":357,"category":324,"readTime":333,"stem":358,"series":351},"\u002Farticles\u002F2026\u002F08\u002Fcrypto-day33","Day 33 | Stage 2：邁向 12K -- 第一天就大起大落","2026-08-17","摘要：Stage 2 第一天就坐雲霄飛車：清晨抄底 BTC\u002FETH 賺 50 美，做空 STAR 越補越虧，做多 Google 與微軟雙雙陣亡，從歷史新高 251.9 USDT 回撤 25%。","\u002Fimages\u002Farticles\u002F2026\u002F08\u002Fcrypto-day33-balance-chart.jpg","articles\u002F2026\u002F08\u002Fcrypto-day33",{"path":360,"title":361,"date":362,"description":363,"image":364,"category":324,"readTime":365,"stem":366,"series":335},"\u002Farticles\u002F2026\u002F08\u002Fcrypto-day29-31","Day 29~32 | 從 0 開始學習區塊鏈與交易直到我把 3000 TWD 本金輸完 (系列結束，開啟新篇章)","2026-08-16","摘要：這篇是此系列的收尾，記錄翻倍後的結算、交易反省，以及未來的新方向。","\u002Fimages\u002Farticles\u002F2026\u002F08\u002Fcrypto-day29-31-01-account-summary.jpg",6,"articles\u002F2026\u002F08\u002Fcrypto-day29-31",{"path":368,"title":369,"date":370,"description":371,"image":372,"category":324,"readTime":317,"stem":373,"series":335},"\u002Farticles\u002F2026\u002F08\u002Fcrypto-day16-28","Day 16~28 | 從 0 開始學習區塊鏈與交易直到我把 3000 TWD 本金輸完","2026-08-12","AI 摘要：帳戶價值的雲霄飛車兩週：從 +30% 一路衝上 +81%，8\u002F6 一夕崩到 -70%，再慢慢爬回 +48% 的每日結算紀錄。細節太多，留待下次慢慢寫。","\u002Fimages\u002Farticles\u002F2026\u002F08\u002Fcrypto-day16-28-balance-chart.jpg","articles\u002F2026\u002F08\u002Fcrypto-day16-28",{"path":332,"title":6,"date":325,"description":326,"image":329,"category":324,"readTime":333,"stem":336,"series":335},{"path":376,"title":377,"date":378,"description":379,"image":380,"category":324,"readTime":381,"stem":382,"series":335},"\u002Farticles\u002F2026\u002F07\u002Fcrypto-day4-14","Day 4~14 | 從 0 開始學習區塊鏈與交易直到我把 3000 TWD 本金輸完","2026-07-29","AI 摘要：記錄 Day 4~14 的交易實驗、槓桿調整、幾次爆倉與心態轉折、合約交易的持續覆盤。","\u002Fimages\u002Farticles\u002F2026\u002F07\u002Fcrypto-day4-14-01-account-overview.jpg",12,"articles\u002F2026\u002F07\u002Fcrypto-day4-14",{"path":384,"title":385,"date":386,"description":387,"image":329,"category":324,"readTime":388,"stem":389,"series":335},"\u002Farticles\u002F2026\u002F07\u002Fcrypto-day3","Day 3 | 從 0 開始學習區塊鏈與交易直到我把 3000 TWD 本金輸完","2026-07-18","AI 摘要：把手續費一次算清楚的一天：台幣 → MAX → 幣安全程出入金成本約 0.15%～0.7%、現貨與合約費率的計費基準差異、Alpha 與現貨槓桿的本質，以及永續合約三種價格與資金費率的錨定機制。",10,"articles\u002F2026\u002F07\u002Fcrypto-day3",{"path":391,"title":392,"date":393,"description":394,"image":329,"category":324,"readTime":388,"stem":395,"series":335},"\u002Farticles\u002F2026\u002F07\u002Fcrypto-day2","Day 2 | 從 0 開始學習區塊鏈與交易直到我把 3000 TWD 本金輸完","2026-07-17","AI 摘要：打上鑽石的一天，正事拖到晚上十點才開工。模擬跟單四個高報酬帶單者後得出「不如自己賭」的結論，並整理合約負和本質、滑價與插針、1 倍槓桿安全性的解惑筆記。","articles\u002F2026\u002F07\u002Fcrypto-day2",{"path":397,"title":398,"date":399,"description":400,"image":329,"category":324,"readTime":333,"stem":401,"series":335},"\u002Farticles\u002F2026\u002F07\u002Fcrypto-day1","Day 1 | 從 0 開始學習區塊鏈與交易直到我把 3000 TWD 本金輸完","2026-07-16","AI 摘要：正式把 3000 台幣轉進幣安的第一天，憑直覺亂開三張空單、賠掉 180 塊的完整紀錄與反思。只要帳戶歸零，這趟學習旅程就收工。","articles\u002F2026\u002F07\u002Fcrypto-day1",{"path":403,"title":404,"date":405,"description":406,"image":407,"category":324,"readTime":333,"stem":408,"series":409},"\u002Farticles\u002F2026\u002F06\u002Fdaily-0603","投資兩個月後","2026-06-03","從兩萬本金到四十萬部位，總收益不到 10%。但我四月篩出來的個股平均漲了 30、40%，我幾乎都沒買。記錄這兩個月的心理戰，與給未來自己的話。","\u002Fimages\u002Farticles\u002F2026\u002F06\u002Fdaily-0603.png","articles\u002F2026\u002F06\u002Fdaily-0603","投資實驗",{"path":411,"title":412,"date":413,"description":414,"image":415,"category":324,"readTime":416,"stem":417,"series":329},"\u002Farticles\u002F2026\u002F04\u002Fdaily-0430","專題慘案：我用 AI 鎖死了教授的 3090 伺服器","2026-04-30","做專題拿到一台有 RTX 3090 的遠端主機，太怕被駭客入侵，於是聰明地請 AI 幫忙鎖 IP⋯⋯結果把我也鎖在外頭了。","\u002Fimages\u002Farticles\u002F2026\u002F04\u002Fdaily-0430.png",3,"articles\u002F2026\u002F04\u002Fdaily-0430",{"path":419,"title":420,"date":421,"description":422,"image":423,"category":324,"readTime":424,"stem":425,"series":409},"\u002Farticles\u002F2026\u002F04\u002Fdaily-0420","刪掉所有遊戲","2026-04-20","把遊戲都卸載掉，嘗試換一種生活模式","\u002Fimages\u002Farticles\u002F2026\u002F04\u002Fdaily-0420.png",1,"articles\u002F2026\u002F04\u002Fdaily-0420",{"path":427,"title":428,"date":429,"description":430,"image":431,"category":324,"readTime":424,"stem":432,"series":329},"\u002Farticles\u002F2026\u002F04\u002Fdaily-0411","破管院","2026-04-11","中央大學鳥學校，破事一堆","\u002Fimages\u002Farticles\u002F2026\u002F04\u002Fdaily-0411.png","articles\u002F2026\u002F04\u002Fdaily-0411",{"path":434,"title":435,"date":436,"description":437,"image":438,"category":439,"readTime":416,"stem":440,"series":329},"\u002Farticles\u002F2026\u002F02\u002Fabout","關於這個網站","2026-02-05","記錄 YUANDERFUL 的誕生故事，以及這個部落格背後的設計理念與技術架構。","\u002Fimages\u002Fog-image.jpg","技術","articles\u002F2026\u002F02\u002Fabout",1787147885638]